A China stop hits freighter and belly tonnes, not the domestic passenger bank. In calendar 2025, China international-segment freight was 3,016,049,813 pounds inside a total of 24,763,400,449 pounds. Calculated from those pound totals, China was 12.2 percent of international segment freight. China passengers were 2,607,633 inside 259,896,184 international segment passengers. Calculated from those passenger totals, China passengers were 1.0 percent.
data.bts.gov
What keeps flying is the domestic system and the non-China international rows. U.S. air-carrier system enplanements were 974,309 thousand in the twelve months ended July 2026. That print includes domestic and international flying, excludes all-cargo services, and is not the denominator of the China share. On the international segment file, Mexico was 15.6 percent of passengers, Canada was 11.1 percent, and the United Kingdom was 7.8 percent. Those three shares are calculated from 40,528,567, 28,897,646, and 20,176,401 passengers against 259,896,184.
transtats.bts.govdata.bts.gov
The China freight row is mostly inbound. Inbound China freight was 2,486,535,146 pounds and outbound was 529,514,667 pounds. Calculated from those two China pound figures, inbound was 82.4 percent of the China freight. South Korea was 8.4 percent of all international segment freight, Japan was 7.7 percent, Germany was 7.1 percent, and the United Kingdom was 6.3 percent. Those freight shares are calculated from the same 24,763,400,449 pound total. Hong Kong is a separate country row, not inside China.
data.bts.gov
Taiwan is a real lane, larger in passengers than China and material in freight. Taiwan passengers were 3,932,604, a calculated 1.5 percent of international segment passengers. Taiwan freight was 1,476,582,623 pounds. Calculated from those pound totals, Taiwan was 6.0 percent of international segment freight. The scenario slows Taiwan. It does not zero it. The file does not split belly and freighter.
data.bts.gov
The short price analog is one week, not a year. U.S. Gulf Coast kerosene-type jet fuel was 2.678 dollars a gallon in the week ending 25 February 2022 and 3.237 in the week ending 4 March 2022. Calculated from those two prints, the spot price rose 20.9 percent. From 2.678 to 4.242 in the week ending 17 June 2022, the accumulated analog is 58.4 percent.
eia.gov
The short operational analog is five days at one airline, and a same-morning national pause that was not a cyber attack. Delta reported approximately 7,000 flight cancellations over five days after the 19 July 2024 CrowdStrike outage. The same window is 5 days. The direct revenue impact of the incident is estimated to be $380 million, with non-fuel expense of $170 million. On 11 January 2023 the FAA ordered airlines to pause all domestic departures until 9 a.m. Eastern Time. The 8:50 a.m. statement said the ground stop had been lifted. The FAA said there was no evidence of a cyber attack.
sec.govfaa.gov
China trade stopping removes the 2025 China segment book of 2,607,633 passengers and 3,016,049,813 pounds of freight, including 2,486,535,146 inbound pounds. It does not remove the 974,309 thousand system enplanements, which are a different series. Other Asia on this file is not a residual code. Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan are named rows.
data.bts.govtranstats.bts.gov
Freight that can still move is the non-China rows. South Korea was 8.4 percent, Japan was 7.7 percent, Germany was 7.1 percent, Hong Kong was 6.9 percent, and the United Kingdom was 6.3 percent of international segment freight. Hong Kong is not counted inside the China 12.2 percent. A planner who also closes Hong Kong is adding a separate row, and that case is a sensitivity, not the base.
data.bts.gov
Taiwan is slowed, not stopped. Taiwan was 6.0 percent of freight pounds and Taiwan passengers were 1.5 percent, above the China passenger share. No aircraft-parts tonnage from Taiwan was on the pages opened. The exposure used here is flights and freight, not a foundry share.
data.bts.gov
The week-1 cash path on flights that keep operating is jet fuel. The spot price rose 20.9 percent from the week ending 25 February 2022 to the week ending 4 March 2022. The accumulated analog is 58.4 percent through the week ending 17 June 2022. The October 2026 monthly average on the monthly series was 4.483 dollars a gallon. That monthly level is a baseline, not the one-week analog.
eia.goveia.gov
The week-1 operational path is a departure-control or air-traffic outage, on two different records. Delta's crew tools failed after the CrowdStrike update and the airline cancelled approximately 7,000 flights over five days. The FAA NOTAM ground stop paused domestic departures on the morning of 11 January 2023 and the FAA said there was no evidence of a cyber attack. A conflict cyber wave is an inference on top of those analogs.
sec.govfaa.govcisa.gov
Sanctions and insurance friction attach to the China discharge and uplift, not to a Mexico or Canada segment. Cargo underwriters can still write the United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, and South Korea rows. No page opened here prints a war-risk premium in cents per pound.
data.bts.gov